Page 57 - Azerbaijan State University of Economics
P. 57

Fakhri M. Mammadov: Azebaijan–WTO relations, problems and future perspectives


                       The results, received under mathematic calculation, on level of import duty for a certain

               good, import and home production corresponding to the given level, will allow to offer certain


               levels for import duties for some goods under negotiations.

                       The document should stipulate assessment of impact of Azerbaijan's entrance to WTO


               upon regional economy.

                       II. Social results of entrance to WTO


                       The document must analyze feasible impact of entrance to WTO upon social indicators of

               national development, dynamic of profits in the most vulnerable fields and sectors, living level of


               population, positions of poor categories of population.

                       The studies on social results must give answers to the following questions:


                       1) how new foreign trade conditions may affect economic dynamic;

                       2) whether efficient markets disappear;

                       3) how reformation may touch upon types of activity where poor categories of population


               concentrate;

                       4) how reform may affect some regions in Azerbaijan;


                       5) how Azerbaijan's entrance to WTO can change profits and employment in the national

               sectors, particularly agrarian sector;


                       6) how Azerbaijan's entrance to WTO can create new jobs.

                       We have to study experience of China which developed CGE model to assess impact of


               foreign trade on economic and social situation in the country. This model will allow to estimate

               co-efficient of tariff elasticity on vulnerable fields (elastic employment and salary due to tariffs).


               is also necessary to work out forecast on dynamic of unemployment with respect to membership







                                                             57
   52   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61   62