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V.Bayramov: Economic diversification policy in context of Azerbaijan's accession

                                                        to the WTO

                     g
                    S               Government savings
                    C               Aggregate consumption
                    S               Aggregate savings
                    Z               Aggregate real investment
                    Source: The Author‟s calculations, 2015

                         The  data  used  for  the  quantitative  analysis  were  collected  from  the  World
                    Bank  Database,  the  International  Monetary  Fund‟s  annual  report,  State  Statistics
                    Committee‟s sources, the Ministry of Finance database, official documents  of the
                    World Trade Organization and CESD reports on macroeconomic issues
                         Tables 7 to 9 describe the base data used to calibrate the model as well as its
                    parameters  and  exogenous  variables.  Table  10  describes  the  values  for  the
                    endogenous variables and Table 11 shows the results for each of the equations.
                                       Table 2. Base data to run the 1-2-3 Model

                         1. National Accounts                       3. Fiscal Account
                         Output (Value Added)    64.8      1.00         Revenue         29.1    0.45
                         Wages (income of the    34.7      0.54         Non-Tax          0.7    0.01
                             population)
                         GDP at market prices    70.2      1.08     Current Expenditure   12.1   0.19
                         Private Consumption     27.2      0.42     . Goods & Services
                          Public Consumption      7.4      0.11     . Interest Payments
                             Investment          25.7      0.40   . Transfers & Subsidies
                               Exports           36.7      0.57     Capital Expenditure   10.3   0.16
                               Imports           16.9      0.26       Fiscal Balance     7.4    0.11
                           2. Tax Revenues                            4. Balance of
                                                                        Payments
                          Sales & Excise Tax      2.5      0.04      Exports - Imports   23.75  0.37
                                                                                         7
                            Import Tariffs     0.2830957   0.00      Interest Payments   -1.1   -0.02
                            Export Duties      0.0009868   0.00    Net Private Transfers   -    0.00
                                                                                        0.083
                             Payroll Tax          1.8      0.03    Net official Transfers   0.71   0.01
                         Personal Income Tax     1.04      0.02      Current Account    15.78   0.24
                                                                         Balance        443
                          Capital Income Tax      3.8      0.06       External Debt     7.608   0.12
                                Total             9.4      0.15       Debt  Service      1.9    0.03
                                                                        Payments
                    Source: The State Statistics Committee of Azerbaijan and Author‟s calculations, 2015




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