Page 71 - Azerbaijan State University of Economics

A.D.Huseynova, O.I.Mazanova: Model of a evaluation of an innovative capital of the
subjects on the basis

- Dynamic properties of the innovative potential require, in the conditions of
uncertainty, adoption of the decisions oriented on its development, which is
especially important, in the scientific sphere, and demand a search for new methods
of analysis and evaluation with the use of a modern mathematical apparatus.
1. Diagnostics of the state of the scientific sphere and monitoring of its
development have demonstrated that the major factors constraining the innovative
development are a low level of innovative activity, unsatisfactory state of the
technological base and unpreparedness of the personnel for an innovative activity.
2. Analysis of the techniques applied for evaluation of an innovative potential
has shown, that a considerable part of them leans on probabilistic methods, which
demand sufficient statistical sample of data. Some of the techniques are based on the
use of mainly expert evaluations. In practice evaluation of an innovative potential of
enterprises with application of such techniques often appears to be too complicated.
In this connection we should search for the methods allowing us to evaluate the
innovative potential of subjects in the conditions of uncertainty.
Use of the fuzzy-set descriptions, in our view, provides an opportunity to take
into account the drawbacks of the techniques previously used for evaluation of the
innovative potential of the subjects and to avoid difficult mathematical calculations.
3. The methods proposed in the work for a complex evaluation of the
innovative potential of the subjects on the basis of the theory of fuzzy sets meet the
requirements for obtaining of reliable results in the conditions of uncertainty.
The proposed technique allows us to establish a correlation between the
numerical values of the indicators and the level of an innovative potential,
connecting them with the evaluations of the linguistic variables. By means of the
given technique it is possible to implement a quantitative interpretation of the
qualitative factors expressed in the terms of a natural language.
4. The methods developed for a complex evaluation of an innovative potential allow
us to apply them to different subjects, and also to carry out monitoring of its level, which
makes it possible to implement control over the enterprises‟ activity and to improve their
management system in order to ensure their effective innovative development.
Acknowledgement
The research work was carried out with funds allocated according to
“Expenses for economic reforms” paragraph of State Budget of the Republic of
Azerbaijan for year 2015 confirmed by the number 290s order of Cabinet of
Ministers of the Republic of Azerbaijan which was signed in 1st October 2015.

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