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Nalin Ranjan: Understanding Epistemology and Methodology in Adolph Lowe’s Political Economics

                    LOWE’S POLITICAL ECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY
                    Various strands of economic theory have informed economic policy differently. One
                    of the early pioneering works in the area of economic policy has been done by Jan
                    Tinbergen and Ragnar Firsch. They essentially brought mathematical modelling into
                    the  practice  of  economic  policy.  Tinbergen’s  theory  does  give  primacy  to  model
                    building as a major step in policy making and thus less importance goes to relations
                    which  are  non-quantifiable  or  non-discoverable  through  mathematical  models.
                    Tinbergen’s theory is apt for a closed system approach while Lowe’s instrumental
                    approach follows an open system approach.
                    Theories  are  broader  than  the  models,  they  may  also  encompass  several  models.
                    Theories when defined by models are closed, but closed models can well be embedded
                    into open theoretical systems (Chick and Dow, 2005). Open theoretical systems can
                    accommodate  different  economic  situations  and  problems.  Systemic  openness
                    involves multiplicity of actors and variables whose interaction is subject to evolving
                    circumstances (Ramazzotti 2021). Lowe’s instrumental analysis as an open theoretical
                    system,  is  open  to  a  trial-and-error  process  through  which  we  can  discover  an
                    appropriate policy for specific goals in different economic situations. Non-quantifiable
                    aspects like goal-adequate behaviour, motivations are  also well integrated into the
                    logical framework of instrumental inference.

                    There are two major approaches to look at theory for economic policy, a mainstream
                    approach  which  is  price  centred  and  other  non-mainstream  approaches  which  are
                    institution-centred (Ramazzotti, 2022). Price-centred mainstream approach while not
                    refuting  the  role  of  institutions  gives  importance  to  prices  as  tool  to  assess  and
                    coordinate in the economy and on the other hand institution centred approach while
                    not  refuting  the  role  of  prices  give  importance  to  institutions.  Institution-centred
                    approach  cannot  be  fit  tightly  into  a  deterministic  model  as  institutions  are
                    interdependent and their change entails change in relative prices.

                    Lowe’s political economics with its open theoretical structure gives closed models
                    while  doing  structural  analysis  in  the  light  of  macro-goal  to  be  achieved  while
                    simultaneously  establishing  an  ontological  openness  with  dynamic  feedback
                    mechanism to revise and adapt structural  analysis and establishing controls as per
                    behaviours and motivations of economic agents. Thus, instrumental inference of Lowe
                    is  an  ongoing  phenomenon  where  feedback  loops  keep  on  revising  and  adapting
                    structural analysis, goal-adequate paths, and suitable controls as per the macro-goal.
                    Mainstream  neoclassical  theories  and  models  start  from  equilibrium  and  assume
                    equilibrating tendencies in an economy while disturbances are exogeneous (Ansperger
                    and Varoufakis 2006; Kuehnlenz et al. 2022).




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