Page 98 - Azerbaijan State University of Economics
P. 98

A.Y.Abbasov:  How U.S. government expansionary monetary policy helps to lower the
                                                 interest rates of mortgages


                    relationship  between  VACRATE  and  HOUSE  should  be  negative  as  with  the
                    decrease of vacant homes one should see increase in housing sales.


                                               REGRESSION ANALYSIS

                    The initial model was regressed with the results as shown in the table below:


                    DEPENDENT VARIABLE: HOUSE                   R2=.902                                                   N=30
                    INDEPENDENT          COEFFICENT           STUDENT T           SIGNIFICANT OF T
                    VARIABLES
                    INTEREST                    7,932.7952           1.073               .2934
                    EMPLOYMENT                  -7,276.0907          -2.478              .0203
                    GDP                         0.6107               0.581               .5667
                    VACRATE                     -56,568.6821         -9.869              .0000
                    DURBIN WATSON= 1.52





































                        The focus in this study is on the impact of INTEREST on HOUSE. The Durbin-

                    Watson statistic of 1.52 fell in the region which shows us that autocorrelation cannot


                    be  concluded.  The  Durbin-Watson  statistic  informed  us  that  autocorrelation  is

                                                           98
   93   94   95   96   97   98   99   100   101   102   103