Page 44 - Azerbaijan State University of Economics
P. 44

THE JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC SCIENCES: THEORY AND PRACTICE, V.76, # 1, 2019, pp. 34-47




                                                                      Threats







                                         Object      Subject      Costs       Proce
                                                                              dures



                                              For financial reasons

                                              In the field of origin                       Technological   Information

                                           On probability of realization             Financial
                        Risks                  By status of clients



                                         On the possibility of forecasting
                                                                                              Dangers
                                          By magnitude of manifestation


                        Figure. 4: Development of negative impact on the object from risk to threat

                    Given  the  current  situation  in  the  country  for  banks,  the  security  frontier  for  the
                    development of banking technology innovation in the agrarian sector, the amount of
                    financial resources should be about 100 billion UAH (Table 2).
                    The  narrowing  of  the  bank's  fixed  communications  in  the  region  is  regarded  by
                    clients as a source of difficulties in the bank which inevitably leads to a decrease in
                    confidence in such banks by economic entities. At the same time the subjects of the
                    agrarian sector can’t use the new terms of service due to a shortage of technological
                    support for communication with the bank.

                    Table 2: Calculation of capital by the method of VIA (Budget Impact Analysis)
                    to cover the innovation risk of Ukrainian banks, UAH million.

                                                                              Year
                                  Indexes
                                                           2013     2014     2015     2016      2017
                   Interest income                        113 334  113 352  117 547  129 932  151 257
                   Interest expense                       61 409   59 506  68 204    80 881    97 171
                   Net interest income                    51 925   53 846  49 343    49 051    54 086
                   Commission income                      15 270   15 473  21 161    24 974    28 276
                   Commission costs                        2 660    3 072   3 080    3 975     4 889

                                                           44
   39   40   41   42   43   44   45   46   47   48   49