Page 57 - Azerbaijan State University of Economics

Vilayat İsmayilov, Nahid Almasov, Sarraf Mirzayev:The Programme of Reduction and
Profilling of Long-Term Unemployment in Azerbaijan

The main difference between the unemployed of the first group ("relatively easily
employed unemployed") and the unemployed of the second group (”easily employed
unemployed"), determined on the basis of this formative principle, is the level of
motivation in work. The main difference between the third group of unemployed
("unemployed who work") and the fourth group of unemployed ("unemployed who
work in case of exposure”) is the possibility of employment. At the same time, the
risk of long-term unemployment of the unemployed in the fourth group is high
compared to the unemployed in other groups. Therefore, employees of the
Employment Service conduct an additional assessment of persons belonging to the
fourth group, and at the same time it is considered appropriate to apply more
appropriate programs. Employees of the Employment Service can make changes to
the results of the rating, if there is convincing evidence that reflects the unemployed
in the specified group. In many countries, employees of the Employment Service
classify the unemployed according to their ability to use computer programs. The
procedure for profiling the unemployed in Russia requires the use of a combined
approach to this issue [Wander S., Messenger J., 1999]. At the first stage of the
combined approach, when assessing the risk of long-term unemployment, it is
proposed to use an adjusted statistical model taking into account the opinion of
experts. At the second stage, active programs are selected by the employees of the
Employment Service. Based on this profiling procedure, the unemployed are
grouped according to the risk of long-term unemployment. The level of long-term
unemployment is estimated using the individual characteristics of the unemployed
[Word of Work Report 2009; OECD Employment Outlook, 2012].

The assessment of the risk level of long-term unemployment is based on the
assessment of the employment potential and the motivation for employment. The
assessment of the employment potential of the unemployed is made on the basis of a
statistical model based on the data of the register of the unemployed. The data
obtained from the statistical model is calculated based on the corresponding score. The
assessment of the level of labor motivation of the unemployed is made by means of a
questionnaire. The first questionnaire is filled in by the unemployed person, the second-
by profiling specialists based on the data on the employee's job search within 10 days
from the date of the unemployed person's registration with the Employment Service.
Based on the survey data, the final assessment is determined using the employment
motivation assessment. In this method, the profiling of the unemployed is determined
based on their professional requirements in the labor market. The assessment of the
individual characteristics of the unemployed is made on the basis of the survey data,
which reflects the education, profession, qualification, and change in the type of activity,
the duration of the duration of unemployment, etc.

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