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Umudvar Q.Aliyev, Gunay U.Guliyeva: Explorıng Economıc Expansıon In Azerbaıjan’s Natıonal Economy

                    geographical space constituted a primary constraint on economic growth—given that
                    the integration of resources into the economic cycle and their efficient utilization are
                    key drivers of growth—Azerbaijan nonetheless achieved economic progress during
                    this period. This resilience persisted despite the occupation of 20% of its territory and
                    the exclusion of 160,000 hectares of land from agricultural use due to climate change.
                    Despite  these  challenges,  Azerbaijan  swiftly  attracted  foreign  investment  to
                    alternative resources, most notably the oil sector, which serves as the cornerstone of
                    the national economy.  This strategic shift not only expanded the scope of economic
                    activity  but  also  facilitated  the  diversification  of  foreign  economic  relations.  On
                    September  24,  1994,  the  'Contract  of  the  Century'  oil  agreements  secured  an
                    unprecedented $8 billion in foreign investment for the Azerbaijani economy. Despite the
                    occupation of 20% of Azerbaijan’s territory, which constrained its geographical scope,
                    these  contracts catalyzed economic growth. Over time, macroeconomic stability  was
                    established,  and  the  initiation  of  oil  production  and  transportation—enabled  by
                    partnerships  with  foreign  companies—resulted  in  substantial  growth  rates.  By  2014,
                    Azerbaijan’s  GDP  reached  a  peak  of  $72  billion.  The  national  currency  maintained
                    stability against foreign exchange rates, bolstered by elevated global crude oil prices,
                    which also swelled the reserves of the State Oil Fund of Azerbaijan (established in 1999).
                    Real incomes of the population rose, while annual oil production surged from 10–12
                    million tons in the early years of independence to 50 million tons.
                                                    GDP in mln dollars
                      90000
                                                                                          78807.5
                      80000                                               75234.7            74294.118
                                                                      69683.9
                      70000

                      60000                                                             54622.2
                                                                  52909.3   52996.8
                                                              48852.5               48174.2
                      50000
                                                                                       42693
                                                                    44297     37862.8
                      40000
                                                            33050.3
                      30000
                                                           20983
                      20000
                                                        13238.7
                                                     7276
                      10000                   5272.8
                          2443.3  1629.3 3180.8
                         0
                             1990  1991  1992  1993  1994  1995  1996  1997  1998  1999  2000  2001  2002  2003  2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022  2023  2024


                                           Graph 1. GDP of Azerbaijan (1990-2024)
                                               Source. State Statistical Committee


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