Page 105 - Azerbaijan State University of Economics
P. 105

Nazim Hajiyev, Daniyar Aliyev: A DSGE Framework For Sovereign Digital Currency
                         Adoption in Small Open Economies: Macro-Financial Channels, Bank Intermediation, and
                         Policy Trade-Offs


                    Steady-state mapping.
                    For intuition and quick arithmetic checks we use the reduced-form mapping from
                    deposit reallocation into loans:

                         =   (1 −   )    .                                                                                                                   (13)

                    Interpretation: when a fraction of deposits Δd moves from banks into SDC, only the
                    non-recycled share (1−γ) reduces bank funding; θ maps funding to loans. Use this
                    relation to sanity-check solver output.

                    Illustrative  numeric  example  used  in  the  text:  for  a  10%  reallocation  away  from
                    deposits (Δd = −0.10), θ = 0.80 and γ = 0.60 imply
                         = 0.80 × (1 − 0.60) × (−0.10) = −0.032, i.e., loans fall ≈ 3.2%.                        (14)

                    Robustness sweep
                    Keep the same      = −0.10 and    = 0.80 while varying γ. Results reported in the
                    paper use the following compact sweep and the accompanying figure:

                    γ = 0.00 → Δℓ ≈ −8.0%                                                                                                               (15)
                    γ = 0.20 → Δℓ ≈ −6.4%                                                                                                               (16)
                    γ = 0.60 → Δℓ ≈ −3.2% (baseline)                                                                                              (17)
                    γ = 0.80 → Δℓ ≈ −1.6%                                                                                                               (18)


                    Note: alternative experiments in the appendix vary θ ∈ {0.6, 0.7} and     ∈ {3, 10}.
                                                                                          





















                    Figure 1: Loan change (%) for a 10% deposit reallocation vs. recycling share γ (baseline θ
                    = 0.80).
                                            Source: Compiled by the authors




                                                           105
   100   101   102   103   104   105   106   107   108   109   110